Posting this so others can learn from my mistakes. I suggest watching this (at least partially) with Fog of War on. From my point of view it is complete chaos with him invading my territory everywhere while I cut off a lot but fail to anticipate him and do proper area control.
My main mistakes (feel free to point out more):
-focusing too much on the fuel
-not capturing enough normal strat points, leading to a lack of muni (and fuel, but mainly muni)
-capturing victory points too late
-not killing his frigging mortars
-losing a few units here and there (he loses quite a few, too)
-went from T1 to T2 too early, should have gotten another gren/mg/mortar or maybe even a scout car. Couldn't upgrade halftrack because of not capturing enough +5 points
-commander choice was purely reactionary to save my tank, which didn't even work
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